Un dia para que todo empiece. Un dia para que todos perdamos si tengo razón, o que quedemos en calma relativa si, una vez más, me he pasado de listo.

Y para ver si va a ser como la primera o como Grozny. A tenor de esta foto



¿Quién ha sacado esa foto? ¿Qué se busca con ella? ¿Toda la desinformación sobre la guerra rápida es un espejismo, o será cierta? ¿Es propaganda para consumo americano? ¿Se han creido los de la camarilla de defensa gringa su propia propaganda?

No se me ocurre cómo pueden entrar en Bagdad o en Basora sin que se rindan en 48 horas. No me salen las cuentas.

¿Qué es lo que emitirá Al Jazira? ¿Llegarán acá sus imágenes?

¿Llegará algo desde fuentes en internet?

Como indican en este interesante artículo analizando las bases estratégicas de la campaña, Even taking this fact into account, US military planners are well short of the five heavy armoured divisions that many pundits believe were essential to mount an invasion at all. That is why many armchair generals and commentators are expressing concern. . Por mucha revolución de doctrina y armamento, parece que no soy el único que pensaba que se las prometían demasiado felices.

O también This operation then is not without risk. Quite what will happen if US forces arrive on the outskirts of Baghdad and the regime has not collapsed is far from clear. The last thing the Pentagon wants is a stalemate at the gates of the city. This war is a test of the concepts behind the theory of "effects-based warfare".

This is the new "in-phrase" in military circles - the idea that you can achieve military goals by carefully selecting critical groups of targets whose destruction could effectively collapse the regime and disorientate its armed forces, thus avoiding the need to defeat the Iraqi military unit by unit.

This is uncharted territory.

The US planners are putting great store in their capacity for swift movement and the ability of their air power to deliver whatever the commanders on the ground need. Sceptics caution whether all of the problems in co-ordinating air and ground forces - especially during a rapid advance - have really been resolved.

Welcome to what promises to be a vast military experiment. One that quite apart from its geo-political effects, could have a fundamental impact upon the future shape of the US military, especially the US Army.